Blue Eagles vs Chitipa United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Nankhaka Stadium, Lilongwe
The Footlab model makes Blue Eagles the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Chitipa United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blue Eagles vs Chitipa United?
Blue Eagles starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,579 vs 1,467).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blue Eagles have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Chitipa United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | MAFCO(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Red Lions(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Blue Eagles win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chitipa United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Chitipa United 1-0 Blue Eagles | Super League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Blue Eagles 3-1 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Chitipa United 1-0 Blue Eagles | Super League |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Chitipa United 2-2 Blue Eagles | Super League |
| May 6, 2023 | Blue Eagles 3-1 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Chitipa United 1-0 Blue Eagles | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Chitipa United vs Blue Eagles on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blue Eagles score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chitipa United score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Eagles | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Chitipa United | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blue Eagles sit 3rd in Super League (28 points from 14 matches) and Chitipa United sit 6th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Chitipa United | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blue Eagles vs Chitipa United?
- The Footlab model makes Blue Eagles the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Chitipa United.
- Where and when is Blue Eagles vs Chitipa United played?
- Blue Eagles vs Chitipa United is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Nankhaka Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.