MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Chitowe Stadium, Nkhotakota
The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for MAFCO. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets?
Nyasa Big Bullets starts as the favourite with a 249-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MAFCO have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nyasa Big Bullets have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Masters FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blue Eagles(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creck(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 MAFCO win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Nyasa Big Bullets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets 1-0 MAFCO | Super League |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Nyasa Big Bullets 3-0 MAFCO | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | MAFCO 0-1 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Nyasa Big Bullets 1-0 MAFCO | Super League |
| May 11, 2024 | MAFCO 1-1 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2023 | MAFCO 0-0 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nyasa Big Bullets vs MAFCO on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MAFCO score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nyasa Big Bullets score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAFCO | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Nyasa Big Bullets | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MAFCO sit 13th in Super League (13 points from 14 matches) and Nyasa Big Bullets sit 4th (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | MAFCO | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | MAFCO | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets?
- The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for MAFCO.
- Where and when is MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets played?
- MAFCO vs Nyasa Big Bullets is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Chitowe Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.