Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Dedza Stadium, Dedza
The Footlab model makes Kamuzu Barracks the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Mitundu Baptist. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Kamuzu Barracks (1,457) and Mitundu Baptist (1,468).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamuzu Barracks have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mitundu Baptist have 5, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karonga United(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kamuzu Barracks win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mitundu Baptist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist 1-0 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mitundu Baptist vs Kamuzu Barracks on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kamuzu Barracks score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mitundu Baptist score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Mitundu Baptist | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/14 | 3/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kamuzu Barracks sit 15th in Super League (12 points from 14 matches) and Mitundu Baptist sit 7th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mitundu Baptist | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist?
- The Footlab model makes Kamuzu Barracks the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Mitundu Baptist.
- Where and when is Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist played?
- Kamuzu Barracks vs Mitundu Baptist is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Dedza Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.