CIVO United vs Dedza Dynamos: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)CIVO Stadium, Lilongwe
The Footlab model makes CIVO United the favourite at 57%, against 29% for a draw and 14% for Dedza Dynamos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CIVO United vs Dedza Dynamos?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate CIVO United (1,517) and Dedza Dynamos (1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CIVO United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dedza Dynamos have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Silver Strikers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Creck(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 CIVO United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dedza Dynamos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos 0-1 CIVO United | Super League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | CIVO United 0-0 Dedza Dynamos | Super League |
| May 25, 2025 | Dedza Dynamos 1-0 CIVO United | Super League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Dedza Dynamos 0-1 CIVO United | Super League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | CIVO United 3-0 Dedza Dynamos | Super League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | CIVO United 3-0 Dedza Dynamos | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Dedza Dynamos vs CIVO United on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CIVO United score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dedza Dynamos score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIVO United | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Dedza Dynamos | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CIVO United sit 11th in Super League (17 points from 14 matches) and Dedza Dynamos sit 12th (14 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | CIVO United | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Dedza Dynamos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CIVO United vs Dedza Dynamos?
- The Footlab model makes CIVO United the favourite at 57%, against 29% for a draw and 14% for Dedza Dynamos.
- Where and when is CIVO United vs Dedza Dynamos played?
- CIVO United vs Dedza Dynamos is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at CIVO Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.