Bogota FC vs Barranquilla: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Bogota FC the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Barranquilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Bogota FC (1,456) and Barranquilla (1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bogota FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Barranquilla have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 0-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Junior(home) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Orsomarso(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bogota FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Barranquilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Bogota FC 1-1 Barranquilla | Primera B |
| May 8, 2026 | Barranquilla 2-0 Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Barranquilla 1-1 Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Bogota FC 1-0 Barranquilla | Primera B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Barranquilla 2-0 Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Barranquilla 4-2 Bogota FC | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Bogota FC vs Barranquilla on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bogota FC score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barranquilla score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogota FC | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Barranquilla | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bogota FC sit 6th in Primera B (23 points from 15 matches) and Barranquilla sit 7th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 33 |
| 7 | Bogota FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Barranquilla | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 32 | 28 |
| 14 | Barranquilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Barranquilla | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
- The Footlab model makes Bogota FC the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Barranquilla.
- Where and when is Bogota FC vs Barranquilla played?
- Bogota FC vs Barranquilla is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.