Depor FC vs Tigres FC: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab model makes Tigres FC the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Depor FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Depor FC vs Tigres FC?
Tigres FC starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,487 vs 1,345).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Depor FC have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Tigres FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Real Santander(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| May 30, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-8 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Depor FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tigres FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Tigres FC 2-1 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Depor FC 1-1 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Tigres FC 1-0 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Tigres FC 2-0 Depor FC | Primera B |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Depor FC 1-3 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Tigres FC 2-3 Depor FC | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Tigres FC vs Depor FC on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Depor FC score 0.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depor FC | 0.9 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Tigres FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Depor FC sit 15th in Primera B (9 points from 15 matches) and Tigres FC sit 8th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tigres FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 11 | Depor FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 9 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 9 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Depor FC | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Depor FC vs Tigres FC?
- The Footlab model makes Tigres FC the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Depor FC.
- Where and when is Depor FC vs Tigres FC played?
- Depor FC vs Tigres FC is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.