Real Soacha vs Quindio: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Quindio the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Real Soacha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Soacha vs Quindio?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Real Soacha (1,596) and Quindio (1,604).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Soacha have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Quindio have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 3-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Cartagena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| May 26, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Soacha win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Quindio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Quindio 0-0 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Real Soacha 3-1 Quindio | Primera B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Quindio 0-0 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Real Soacha 2-1 Quindio | Primera B |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Quindio 3-2 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Quindio 1-1 Real Soacha | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Quindio vs Real Soacha on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Soacha score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Quindio score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Soacha | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Quindio | 0.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Soacha sit 13th in Primera B (13 points from 15 matches) and Quindio sit 4th (31 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Quindio | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | Real Soacha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Soacha | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Real Soacha | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 18 |
| 13 | Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Soacha vs Quindio?
- The Footlab model makes Quindio the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Real Soacha.
- Where and when is Real Soacha vs Quindio played?
- Real Soacha vs Quindio is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.