Bolton vs Millwall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Millwall. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolton vs Millwall?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Bolton (1,939) and Millwall (1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bolton vs Millwall
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 21E. Erhahon
- 11T. Gale
- 16S. Iling-Junior
- 20Ruben Rodrigues
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 18E. Toal
- 25M. Conway
- 6B. Davies
- 31G. Bazunu
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 13L. Dykes
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 22K. Lisbie
- 17M. Sykes
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 34F. Marschall
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Millwall have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bolton wins, 2 draws, 2 Millwall wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Millwall 4-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Bolton 2-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Millwall 1-1 Bolton | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2018 | Bolton 0-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Millwall 1-1 Bolton | Championship |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Bolton 2-0 Millwall | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 14th in Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Millwall sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Bolton vs Millwall?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolton vs Millwall?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Millwall.
- Where and when is Bolton vs Millwall played?
- Bolton vs Millwall is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Toughsheet Community Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.