Cardiff vs Portsmouth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 42Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Portsmouth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cardiff wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff vs Portsmouth?
Cardiff starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cardiff vs Portsmouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Salech
- 11O. Tanner
- 8J. Moylan
- 18A. Robertson
- 16C. Willock
- 45Cian Ashford
- 3J. Bagan
- 38P. Ng
- 2W. Fish
- 23C. Scanlon
- 1N. Trott
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1- 17T. Shade
- 10A. Segecic
- 11A. Kamara
- 7M. Pack
- 38E. Adams
- 37I. Mohamed
- 55M. Dia
- 5R. Poole
- 16J. Meghoma
- 24T. Devlin
- 1N. Schmid
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Portsmouth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 5-4 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cardiff wins, 0 draws, 3 Portsmouth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Portsmouth 2-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Portsmouth 2-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Cardiff 2-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2022 | Cardiff 0-3 Portsmouth | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2017 | Cardiff 2-1 Portsmouth | League Cup |
| Jan 21, 2012 | Cardiff 3-2 Portsmouth | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Portsmouth | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff sit 14th in Championship (18 points from 15 matches) and Portsmouth sit 11th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 22 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 18 |
A question about Cardiff vs Portsmouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff vs Portsmouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Portsmouth.
- Where and when is Cardiff vs Portsmouth played?
- Cardiff vs Portsmouth is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cardiff City Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.