Watford vs West Brom: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
The Footlab AI model makes West Brom the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Brom wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Watford vs West Brom?
West Brom starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Watford vs West Brom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 20M. Doumbia
- 7O. Maamma
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 23O. Traoré
- 1F. Ravaglia
West Brom
4-4-2- 20R. Nzingoula
- 11J. Morgan
- 21I. Price
- 15Tobias Christopher Collyer
- 8J. Molumby
- 29Harry Whitwell
- 4C. Styles
- 2C. Mepham
- 18B. Pereira
- 6G. Campbell
- 1M. O’Leary
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; West Brom have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Watford wins, 1 draw, 3 West Brom wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | West Brom 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2026 | West Brom 3-0 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Watford 2-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | West Brom 2-1 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Watford 2-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | West Brom 2-2 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; West Brom score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| West Brom | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 20th in Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and West Brom sit 5th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Watford vs West Brom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Watford vs West Brom?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Brom the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Watford.
- Where and when is Watford vs West Brom played?
- Watford vs West Brom is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vicarage Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.