Bristol City vs Burnley: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Burnley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol City vs Burnley?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Bristol City (1,833) and Burnley (1,838).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol City vs Burnley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 9L. Tolaj
- 12J. Knight
- 21Rio Cardines
- 8J. Williams
- 23D. Ballard
- 10S. Twine
- 19G. Tanner
- 3C. Pring
- 15L. McNally
- 2L. Eissat
- 40B. Collins
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 9J. Vardy
- 29J. Laurent
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 10M. Edwards
- 17A. Hountondji
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 23Lucas Pires
- 18H. Ekdal
- 37G. Coudert
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Burnley have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bristol City win, 0 draws, 5 Burnley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Burnley 1-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Burnley 1-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Bristol City 0-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Bristol City 1-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Burnley 2-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Burnley 2-0 Bristol City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Burnley vs Bristol City on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol City score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Burnley | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol City sit 15th in Championship (18 points from 14 matches) and Burnley sit 22nd (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 10 |
A question about Bristol City vs Burnley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs Burnley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Burnley.
- Where and when is Bristol City vs Burnley played?
- Bristol City vs Burnley is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ashton Gate Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.