Lincoln vs Bolton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bolton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lincoln wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,505 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lincoln vs Bolton?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Lincoln (2,005) and Bolton (1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lincoln vs Bolton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lincoln
3-4-2-1- 34F. Draper
- 14C. McGrandles
- 18B. House
- 3A. Reach
- 24I. Varfolomeev
- 27C. Ogbene
- 8T. Bayliss
- 25D. Elerewe
- 15S. Bradley
- 6R. Towler
- 1G. Wickens
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 21E. Erhahon
- 11T. Gale
- 16S. Iling-Junior
- 20Ruben Rodrigues
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 18E. Toal
- 25M. Conway
- 6B. Davies
- 31G. Bazunu
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bolton have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lincoln wins, 2 draws, 2 Bolton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bolton 0-1 Lincoln | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lincoln 1-1 Bolton | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Bolton 1-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Lincoln 4-2 Bolton | League One |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Lincoln 0-1 Bolton | EFL Trophy |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Bolton 3-0 Lincoln | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bolton score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Bolton | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lincoln sit 18th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Bolton sit 14th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Lincoln vs Bolton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lincoln vs Bolton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bolton.
- Where and when is Lincoln vs Bolton played?
- Lincoln vs Bolton is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.