Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (2,284 vs 2,107).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Bayer Leverkusen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th (59 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 59 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Werder BremenvsEintracht Frankfurt
- Apr 10, 2027FSV Mainz 05vsRB Leipzig
- Apr 10, 2027Borussia DortmundvsFC Schalke 04
- Apr 10, 20271899 HoffenheimvsSC Freiburg
- Apr 10, 2027VfB StuttgartvsSV Elversberg
- Apr 10, 2027Hamburger SVvsUnion Berlin
- Apr 10, 2027SC Paderborn 07vsBayern München
- Apr 10, 20271. FC KölnvsFC Augsburg