SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayern München: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayern München?
Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,561 Elo points against 2,123, a 438-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayern München
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Paderborn 07
3-5-2- 30S. Marino
- 18M. Pieringer
- 5S. Castañeda
- 40G. Vidović
- 23R. Obermair
- 17L. Curda
- 28L. Ulrich
- 21J. ter Horst
- 22M. Hansen
- 25T. Scheller
- 15N. Noll
Bayern München
4-2-3-1- 9H. Kane
- 17M. Olise
- 6J. Kimmich
- 14L. Díaz
- 45A. Pavlović
- 34I. Saibari
- 2D. Upamecano
- 11N. Brown
- 3Kim Min-Jae
- 27K. Laimer
- 40J. Urbig
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2026 | DC United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 6-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Viking(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 7-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SV Elversberg(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 SC Paderborn 07 wins, 0 draws, 5 Bayern München wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | Bayern München 3-2 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 28, 2019 | SC Paderborn 07 2-3 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| Feb 6, 2018 | SC Paderborn 07 0-6 Bayern München | DFB Pokal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | SC Paderborn 07 0-6 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2014 | Bayern München 4-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07 on Feb 21, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
SC Paderborn 07 score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 3.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Bayern München | 3.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Paderborn 07 sit 16th in Bundesliga (5 points from 6 matches) and Bayern München sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 14 |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
A question about SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayern München?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayern München?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bayern München the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for SC Paderborn 07.
- Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayern München played?
- SC Paderborn 07 vs Bayern München is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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