Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen played?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Werder Bremen

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (2,286 vs 2,041).

Bayer Leverkusen win61 %

Draw21 %

Werder Bremen win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bayer Leverkusen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2025	Werder Bremen 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Mar 8, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2024	Werder Bremen 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Apr 14, 2024	Bayer Leverkusen 5-0 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Nov 25, 2023	Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15
Werder Bremen	1.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th in Bundesliga (59 points from 34 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen?: The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen played?: Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.