Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer LeverkusenWerder Bremen

The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (2,330 vs 2,089).

66%19%15%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawWerder Bremen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 30I. Maza
  3. 9Afonso Moreira
  4. 19M. Diaby
  5. 6E. Fernández
  1. 12E. Tapsoba
  2. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  3. 2F. Medina
  4. 4J. Quansah
  1. 1M. Flekken

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 12:38 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026SC Freiburg(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Lech Poznan(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)4-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026RB Leipzig(home)2-0Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2026Celje(home)2-0UEFA Europa League
Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bayer Leverkusen wins, 2 draws, 1 Werder Bremen win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Aug 30, 2025Werder Bremen 3-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Mar 8, 2025Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Oct 26, 2024Werder Bremen 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Apr 14, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 5-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
Nov 25, 2023Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen2.70.978/1513/15
Werder Bremen2.11.539/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th in Bundesliga (13 points from 6 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bayer Leverkusen641116913
8Werder Bremen623112129

A question about Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen played?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bayer Leverkusen and Werder Bremen

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