Match

1. FC Köln vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC KölnFC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs FC Augsburg?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate 1. FC Köln (2,049) and FC Augsburg (2,071).

1. FC Köln win47 %
Draw22 %
FC Augsburg win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Würzburger Kickers(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026Real Sociedad(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026Hertha BSC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026Bergisch Gladbach(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Bayern München(away)1-5Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Köln win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC Augsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026FC Augsburg 2-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Oct 18, 20251. FC Köln 1-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Mar 31, 2024FC Augsburg 1-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Nov 4, 20231. FC Köln 1-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Apr 8, 2023FC Augsburg 1-3 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Oct 16, 20221. FC Köln 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Köln on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln2.01.9113/1512/15
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC Augsburg3412715456143
141. FC Köln3471116496332

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs FC Augsburg?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs FC Augsburg played?
1. FC Köln vs FC Augsburg is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: 1. FC Köln and FC Augsburg

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