VfB Stuttgart vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs SV Elversberg?
VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,098).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; SV Elversberg have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(away) | 3-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SV Elversberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 2-0 SV Elversberg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs SV Elversberg on Oct 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| SV Elversberg | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs SV Elversberg?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for SV Elversberg.
- Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs SV Elversberg played?
- VfB Stuttgart vs SV Elversberg is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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