Boston River vs Colón: prediction and stats
Copa UruguayRound of 32Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones Olímpicos, Ciudad de Florida
The Footlab model makes Boston River the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Colón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston River vs Colón?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Boston River (1,740) and Colón (1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston River have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Colón have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | La Luz(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cerrito(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Boston River score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Colón score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Colón | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston River vs Colón?
- The Footlab model makes Boston River the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Colón.
- Where and when is Boston River vs Colón played?
- Boston River vs Colón is played on September 9, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones Olímpicos, in the Copa Uruguay.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.