Club Nacional vs Albion FC: prediction and stats
Copa UruguayRound of 32Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
The Footlab model makes Club Nacional the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Albion FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Nacional vs Albion FC?
Club Nacional starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,840 vs 1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Nacional have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Albion FC have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Progreso(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Progreso(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tigre(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Juventud(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Club Nacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Albion FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Club Nacional 1-0 Albion FC | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Albion FC 3-2 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Albion FC 0-1 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 21, 2022 | Club Nacional 2-0 Albion FC | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Albion FC on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Albion FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Albion FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Nacional vs Albion FC?
- The Footlab model makes Club Nacional the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Albion FC.
- Where and when is Club Nacional vs Albion FC played?
- Club Nacional vs Albion FC is played on August 27, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gran Parque Central, in the Copa Uruguay.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.