Boston River vs Defensor Sporting: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones Olímpicos, Ciudad de Florida
The Footlab AI model makes Boston River the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Defensor Sporting. The most likely score is 1-1. If Boston River wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?
On Elo ratings, Boston River has 1,793 points and Defensor Sporting 1,740.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boston River vs Defensor Sporting
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boston River
3-4-2-1- 9F. Bonfiglio
- 5R. Saravia
- 26F. Muñoa
- 10A. Amado
- 15L. Vazquez
- 17Marco Oroná
- 32Y. González
- 31J. Acosta
- 22F. Martínez
- 30M. González
- 1B. Antúnez
Defensor Sporting
4-2-3-1- 26B. Montenegro
- 5G. Barrios
- 8Nicolás Andrés Wunsch Tomás
- 24L. de los Santos
- 29T. Pozzo
- 7N. Medina
- 24G. de los Santos
- 11L. Agazzi
- 2E. Elizalde
- 4G. Rodriguez
- 12K. Dawson
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston River have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Defensor Sporting have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wanderers(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Juventud(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Fenix(home) | 3-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Progreso(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cerro(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 0-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Boston River wins, 1 draw, 3 Defensor Sporting wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Defensor Sporting 1-1 Boston River | Primera División |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Defensor Sporting 2-0 Boston River | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Boston River 4-0 Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Defensor Sporting 2-0 Boston River | Primera División |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Boston River 0-1 Defensor Sporting | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Defensor Sporting 1-2 Boston River | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Defensor Sporting vs Boston River on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boston River score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Defensor Sporting score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Defensor Sporting | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boston River sit 10th in Primera División (12 points from 10 matches) and Defensor Sporting sit 12th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boston River the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Defensor Sporting.
- Where and when is Boston River vs Defensor Sporting played?
- Boston River vs Defensor Sporting is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones Olímpicos, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.