Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Parque Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Montevideo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Montevideo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Racing Montevideo (1,802) and Wanderers (1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Montevideo
4-4-2- 9S. da Silva
- 81Mohammed Abdul Qayoom
- 10E. da Silva
- 34A. De la Cuesta Airoldi
- 37Y. Oyarzo
- 39Á. Vázquez
- 13Abdulkadir Ceri
- 17R. Ferreira
- 3R. Brazionis
- 4G. Cotugno
- 12F. Varese
Wanderers
4-3-3- 24J. Zeballos
- 30F. Labandeira
- 10L. Cosentino
- 16J. Alberti
- 5N. Queiroz
- 21S. Benitez
- 2N. Cabral
- 31N. Furtado
- 13F. Formiliano
- 15D. Mencia
- 33A. Buffa
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Montevideo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Wanderers have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Progreso(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 0-3 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Cerrito(away) | 2-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cerrito(home) | 1-3 | Copa Uruguay |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Racing Montevideo wins, 2 draws, 2 Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Wanderers 1-2 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Racing Montevideo 1-0 Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Racing Montevideo 0-0 Wanderers | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Wanderers 0-0 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Racing Montevideo 0-1 Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Racing Montevideo 0-1 Wanderers | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Wanderers vs Racing Montevideo on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Montevideo score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wanderers score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Wanderers | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Montevideo sit 11th in Primera División (12 points from 10 matches) and Wanderers sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Montevideo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Wanderers.
- Where and when is Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers played?
- Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Osvaldo Roberto, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.