Boston United vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Boston United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Boston United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,836 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston United vs Harrogate Town?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Boston United (1,696) and Harrogate Town (1,781).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boston United vs Harrogate Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boston United
4-3-3- 18L. Wheeldon
- 11Kenneth Aboh
- 14L. John-Lewis
- 15Oliver Bostock
- 7J. Holmes
- 8G. Holohan
- 23J. Grimes
- 2S. Sachdev
- 28T. Agyemang
- 6N. Canavan
- 13Louis Chadwick
Harrogate Town
4-3-3- 23B. Dolaghan
- 35C. McGuckin
- 9S. McCoulsky
- 3E. Bristow
- 17J. Hmami
- 14M. Williams
- 24L. Cass
- 4A. Baptiste
- 16S. Dreyer
- 2L. Payne
- 34L. Hutchinson
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 11:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Harrogate Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 2-4 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Boston United score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boston United sit 19th in National League (18 points from 16 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 2nd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 32 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
A question about Boston United vs Harrogate Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston United vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boston United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Boston United vs Harrogate Town played?
- Boston United vs Harrogate Town is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jakemans Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.