Match

Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

BotafogoChapecoense-sc

The Footlab AI model makes Botafogo the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Chapecoense-sc. The most likely score is 1-1. If Botafogo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?

Botafogo starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,691).

56%23%21%
Botafogo winDrawChapecoense-sc win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Botafogo

4-2-3-1
  1. 19Arthur Cabral
  1. 8Danilo Santos
  2. 6C. Medina
  3. 11Matheus Martins
  4. 22H. Ziyech
  5. 75Huguinho
  1. 2Vitinho
  2. 13Alex Telles
  3. 5N. Ferraresi
  4. 21Marçal
  1. 12Gabriel Batista

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Túlio
  1. 88Yago Felipe
  2. 31Garcez
  3. 7Marcinho
  4. 10Giovanni Augusto
  5. 16Bruno Matias
  1. 21Kauan Faria Gomes
  2. 91Bruno Pacheco
  3. 3Doma
  4. 23Dudu
  1. 98Anderson

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chapecoense-sc have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Botafogo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Coritiba(away)1-1Serie A
Oct 7, 2026Vasco DA Gama(home)1-2Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Mirassol(away)0-2Serie A
Sep 16, 2026Gremio(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 12, 2026RB Bragantino(home)1-1Serie A
Chapecoense-sc
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Atletico Paranaense(home)1-4Serie A
Oct 7, 2026Vitoria(away)0-4Serie A
Sep 26, 2026Atletico Nacional(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Atletico-MG(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Internacional(home)1-2Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Botafogo wins, 1 draw, 1 Chapecoense-sc win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 14, 2026Chapecoense-sc 2-0 BotafogoCopa Do Brasil
Apr 21, 2026Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense-scCopa Do Brasil
Apr 18, 2026Chapecoense-sc 1-4 BotafogoSerie A
Nov 27, 2019Chapecoense-sc 0-1 BotafogoSerie A
Aug 26, 2019Botafogo 0-0 Chapecoense-scSerie A
Nov 15, 2018Chapecoense-sc 0-1 BotafogoSerie A

Last archived meeting: Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo on May 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Botafogo score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chapecoense-sc score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Botafogo0.91.548/156/15
Chapecoense-sc0.92.129/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Botafogo sit 13th in Serie A (36 points from 30 matches) and Chapecoense-sc sit 20th (18 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Botafogo309912434836
20Chapecoense-sc293917306118

A question about Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
The Footlab AI model makes Botafogo the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Chapecoense-sc.
Where and when is Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc played?
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc is played on October 17, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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