Mirassol vs Internacional: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Mirassol the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Internacional. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mirassol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirassol vs Internacional?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Mirassol (1,850) and Internacional (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mirassol vs Internacional
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mirassol
4-2-3-1- 30Bruno Santos
- 27Denilson
- 10Chico
- 33Eduardo
- 77Alesson
- 19Gustavo Silva
- 3Willian Machado
- 6Reinaldo
- 32Igor Formiga
- 34João Victor
- 22Walter
Known absences
José AldoOut · Muscle injury- NeguebaOut · Knee injury
Internacional
3-4-2-1- 10Alan Patrick
- 28Vitinho
- 26A. Bernabéi
- 5R. Villagra
- 29Thiago Maia
- 35B. Aguirre
- 9Alerrandro
- 25G. Mercado
- 15Bruno Gomes
- 18Juninho
- 12Anthoni
Known absences
A. SanabriaOut · Not in squad- AllexOut · Not in squad
G. MaripánOut · Not in squad- KaykyOut · Ankle injury
S. RochetOut · Back injury
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirassol have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Internacional have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Uberlandia(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santos(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Mirassol wins, 1 draw, 0 Internacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Internacional 1-2 Mirassol | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Mirassol 3-1 Internacional | Serie A |
| May 18, 2025 | Internacional 1-1 Mirassol | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Internacional vs Mirassol on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirassol score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Internacional score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Internacional | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirassol sit 15th in Serie A (33 points from 30 matches) and Internacional sit 17th (32 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | 33 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 38 | 32 |
A question about Mirassol vs Internacional?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirassol vs Internacional?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mirassol the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Internacional.
- Where and when is Mirassol vs Internacional played?
- Mirassol vs Internacional is played on October 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.