Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Vratsa
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia is a heavy favourite: 2,050 Elo points against 1,739 — a 311-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Vratsa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Levski Sofia have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Botev Vratsa win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Levski Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Levski Sofia 1-1 Botev Vratsa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Levski Sofia 3-1 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 0-0 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Botev Vratsa 0-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Levski Sofia 3-2 Botev Vratsa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Levski Sofia 4-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Vratsa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 2.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Vratsa sit 14th in First League (1 points from 5 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 2nd (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Botev Vratsa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia played?
- Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.