Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,756).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 29Christ Longville
- 5T. Pavlov
- 11R. Leijten
- 39P. Umarbayev
- 10J. Iliev
- 7Sevi Idriz
- 2Adrián Cova
- 22I. Ivanov
- 12E. Ali
- 4A. Chindriş
- 1B. Milosavljevic
Levski Sofia
4-3-3- 7Reinaldo
- 17Everton Bala
- 3Maicon
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 4C. Makoun
- 71O. Kamdem
- 20Álex Centelles
- 21Aldair
- 1O. Vladimirov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Plovdiv have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Levski Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv win, 0 draws, 5 Levski Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Levski Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Levski Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
| May 18, 2024 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia played?
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.