Bournemouth vs Fulham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Fulham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Fulham?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Bournemouth (2,194) and Fulham (2,124).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bournemouth have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Fulham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 10-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farense(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bournemouth win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fulham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Fulham 0-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Bournemouth 3-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Bournemouth 1-0 Fulham | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Fulham 3-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Bournemouth 3-0 Fulham | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bournemouth score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Fulham | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Fulham?
- The Footlab model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Fulham.
- Where and when is Bournemouth vs Fulham played?
- Bournemouth vs Fulham is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vitality Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.