Tottenham vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Tottenham the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tottenham wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tottenham vs Sunderland?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Tottenham (2,124) and Sunderland (2,101).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tottenham vs Sunderland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tottenham
4-2-3-1- 19D. Solanke
- 16S. Tonali
- 17Sávio
- 8C. Gallagher
- 15L. Bergvall
- 20M. Kudus
- 6J. van Hecke
- 14A. Gray
- 13D. Udogie
- 5M. Senesi
- 31A. Kinský
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 18W. Isidor
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 27N. Sadiki
- 10N. Angulo
- 12T. Meunier
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 32T. Hume
- 22R. Roefs
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tottenham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sunderland have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tottenham wins, 2 draws, 1 Sunderland win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sunderland 1-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Tottenham 1-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2017 | Sunderland 0-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Tottenham 1-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Tottenham 4-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Sunderland 0-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Tottenham on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tottenham score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tottenham sit 19th in Premier League (3 points from 6 matches) and Sunderland sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Tottenham vs Sunderland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tottenham vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tottenham the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Tottenham vs Sunderland played?
- Tottenham vs Sunderland is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.