Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
On Elo ratings, Chelsea has 2,247 points and Nottingham Forest 2,170.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chelsea
3-4-3- 17M. Rogers
- 10C. Palmer
- 9João Pedro
- 7Pedro Neto
- 29Pep Chavarría
- 14J. Henderson
- 25M. Caicedo
- 6L. Colwill
- 5M. Lacroix
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 1E. Martínez
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 14D. Ndoye
- 24J. McAtee
- 21X. Schlager
- 27D. Muñoz
- 5Murillo
- 2O. Diomande
- 34O. Aina
- 26M. Sels
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 6-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chelsea wins, 1 draw, 2 Nottingham Forest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Chelsea 1-3 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 0-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 0-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Chelsea 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| May 11, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 2-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Chelsea 0-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 2.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea sit 6th in Premier League (10 points from 6 matches) and Nottingham Forest sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 10 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest played?
- Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stamford Bridge, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.