Hull City vs Crystal Palace: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crystal Palace wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (2,152 vs 2,004).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hull City vs Crystal Palace
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 25M. Crooks
- 7S. Thomas
- 10M. Belloumi
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 22L. Herrington
- 3R. Giles
- 19K. Tzolakis
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 23Q. Timber
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 21H. Ahanor
- 44W. Benítez
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Crystal Palace have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hull City wins, 1 draw, 3 Crystal Palace wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2017 | Crystal Palace 4-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Hull City 3-3 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Crystal Palace 0-2 Hull City | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Hull City 2-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2014 | Crystal Palace 1-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Hull City 0-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Crystal Palace vs Hull City on May 14, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 9th in Premier League (9 points from 7 matches) and Crystal Palace sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Hull City vs Crystal Palace?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Crystal Palace?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Crystal Palace played?
- Hull City vs Crystal Palace is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.