Aston Villa vs Ipswich: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Ipswich. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Ipswich?
Aston Villa starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,055).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aston Villa vs Ipswich
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 8B. Kamara
- 7J. McGinn
- 10E. Buendía
- 44J. Manzambi
- 35João Gomes
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 5T. Mings
- 2M. Cash
- 13M. Ruggeri
- 1Z. Suzuki
Ipswich
4-2-3-1- 19Emersonn
- 23S. Lukić
- 10J. Enciso
- 38D. Maeda
- 12Florentino
- 11J. Philogene
- 26D. O'Shea
- 6I. Diop
- 3L. Davis
- 42A. Ouattara
- 28C. Walton
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ipswich have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Everton(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aston Villa wins, 3 draws, 0 Ipswich wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Aston Villa 1-1 Ipswich | Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Ipswich 2-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Aston Villa 2-1 Ipswich | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Ipswich 1-1 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Ipswich 0-4 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Aston Villa 2-0 Ipswich | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Ipswich on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ipswich score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Ipswich | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aston Villa sit 16th in Premier League (5 points from 6 matches) and Ipswich sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Aston Villa vs Ipswich?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aston Villa vs Ipswich?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Ipswich.
- Where and when is Aston Villa vs Ipswich played?
- Aston Villa vs Ipswich is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Villa Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.