Braintree vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cressing Road Stadium, Braintree, Essex
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Braintree vs Maidenhead?
Maidenhead starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,641).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Braintree have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Braintree win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maidenhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Maidenhead 3-3 Braintree | National League |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Braintree 1-3 Maidenhead | National League |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Maidenhead 0-1 Braintree | National League |
| Aug 27, 2018 | Braintree 0-2 Maidenhead | National League |
Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Braintree on Mar 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braintree | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Braintree sit 20th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 20 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Braintree vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Braintree.
- Where and when is Braintree vs Maidenhead played?
- Braintree vs Maidenhead is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cressing Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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