Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Optima Stadium, Weston-super-Mare, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Weston-super-Mare (1,834) and Horsham (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weston-super-Mare have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Weston-super-Mare win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Horsham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Horsham | National League - South |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Horsham 1-1 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Horsham | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Horsham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham?
- The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham played?
- Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Optima Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 17, 2027TorquayvsEbbsfleet United
- Apr 17, 2027BraintreevsMaidenhead
- Apr 17, 2027Billericay TownvsWalton & Hersham
- Apr 17, 2027Slough TownvsChelmsford City
- Apr 17, 2027Truro CityvsFarnborough
- Apr 17, 2027Folkestone InvictavsDagenham & Redbridge
- Apr 17, 2027SalisburyvsChesham United