Salisbury vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salisbury vs Chesham United?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Salisbury (1,760) and Chesham United (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salisbury have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Salisbury win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Salisbury 1-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Chesham United 0-1 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Chesham United 2-2 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Chesham United 2-3 Salisbury | FA Trophy |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Salisbury 1-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Chesham United 2-1 Salisbury | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Salisbury vs Chesham United on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salisbury | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salisbury sit 15th in National League - South (4 points from 3 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Salisbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salisbury vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Salisbury vs Chesham United played?
- Salisbury vs Chesham United is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 17, 2027TorquayvsEbbsfleet United
- Apr 17, 2027BraintreevsMaidenhead
- Apr 17, 2027Billericay TownvsWalton & Hersham
- Apr 17, 2027Slough TownvsChelmsford City
- Apr 17, 2027Weston-super-MarevsHorsham
- Apr 17, 2027Truro CityvsFarnborough
- Apr 17, 2027Folkestone InvictavsDagenham & Redbridge