Torquay vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torquay wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Ebbsfleet United?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Torquay (1,951) and Ebbsfleet United (1,922).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torquay vs Ebbsfleet United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Stoneham(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torquay wins, 2 draws, 1 Ebbsfleet United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Torquay | National League - South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Torquay 1-0 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Torquay 0-0 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Oct 8, 2019 | Ebbsfleet United 2-4 Torquay | National League |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Torquay 1-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Oct 24, 2017 | Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Torquay | National League |
Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Torquay on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 12th in National League - South (16 points from 11 matches) and Ebbsfleet United sit 6th (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
A question about Torquay vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Ebbsfleet United.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Torquay vs Ebbsfleet United is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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