Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Carlisle Grounds, Bray
The Footlab model makes Bray Wanderers the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Treaty United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Bray Wanderers (1,401) and Treaty United (1,312).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bray Wanderers have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Treaty United have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Longford Town(away) | 2-4 | First Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Galway United(away) | 1-1 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Finn Harps(home) | 5-0 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kerry(home) | 0-4 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cork City(home) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | UCD(away) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bray Wanderers win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Treaty United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Treaty United 2-2 Bray Wanderers | First Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Bray Wanderers 2-2 Treaty United | First Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Treaty United 0-1 Bray Wanderers | First Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Bray Wanderers 1-0 Treaty United | First Division |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Treaty United 2-1 Bray Wanderers | First Division |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Bray Wanderers 3-2 Treaty United | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Treaty United vs Bray Wanderers on Jun 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bray Wanderers score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Treaty United score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bray Wanderers | 2.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Treaty United | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bray Wanderers sit 3rd in First Division (31 points from 20 matches) and Treaty United sit 10th (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 31 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 41 | 43 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 30 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United?
- The Footlab model makes Bray Wanderers the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Treaty United.
- Where and when is Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United played?
- Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Carlisle Grounds, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.