Bremer SV vs Weiche Flensburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion am Panzenberg, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Bremer SV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bremer SV vs Weiche Flensburg?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Bremer SV (1,870) and Weiche Flensburg (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bremer SV have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Weiche Flensburg have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | St. Pauli II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Verl(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bremer SV win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Weiche Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg 0-0 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Bremer SV 2-2 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 3-2 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Bremer SV 2-4 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 8, 2024 | Weiche Flensburg 4-4 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Bremer SV 0-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Weiche Flensburg vs Bremer SV on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bremer SV score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bremer SV | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bremer SV sit 12th in Regionalliga - Nord (4 points from 4 matches) and Weiche Flensburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 12 | Bremer SV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bremer SV vs Weiche Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Bremer SV.
- Where and when is Bremer SV vs Weiche Flensburg played?
- Bremer SV vs Weiche Flensburg is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Panzenberg, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsHannover 96 II
- Sep 26, 2026SSV JeddelohvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Sep 26, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Sep 26, 2026St. Pauli IIvsKickers Emden
- Sep 26, 2026Phönix LübeckvsVfB Oldenburg
- Sep 26, 2026TodesfeldevsVfB Lübeck
- Sep 26, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsHSC Hannover
- Sep 26, 2026SchöningenvsSV Drochtersen/Assel