Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg played?

Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck

Phönix Lübeck

VfB Oldenburg

The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Phönix Lübeck. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Phönix Lübeck (1,957) and VfB Oldenburg (2,018).

Phönix Lübeck win37 %

Draw25 %

VfB Oldenburg win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; VfB Oldenburg have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phönix Lübeck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	VfB Lübeck(home)	4-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Bremer SV(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nord

VfB Oldenburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026	VfB Lübeck(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)	3-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026	Werder Bremen II(away)	3-0	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 25, 2026	Paderborn II(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 VfB Oldenburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2026	VfB Oldenburg 3-1 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 27, 2025	Phönix Lübeck 1-2 VfB Oldenburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Nov 23, 2024	VfB Oldenburg 2-2 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 10, 2024	Phönix Lübeck 3-1 VfB Oldenburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Nov 26, 2023	VfB Oldenburg 1-1 Phönix Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2023	Phönix Lübeck 5-1 VfB Oldenburg	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: VfB Oldenburg vs Phönix Lübeck on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Oldenburg score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Phönix Lübeck	1.8	1.5	5	9/15	9/15
VfB Oldenburg	2.1	1.7	3	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and VfB Oldenburg sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	VfB Oldenburg	4	3	1	0	11	3	10
5	Phönix Lübeck	4	2	1	1	7	2	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?: The Footlab model makes VfB Oldenburg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Phönix Lübeck.
Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg played?: Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.