Brežice vs Aluminij: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Brežice, Brežice
The Footlab AI model makes Aluminij the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Brežice. The most likely score is 1-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brežice vs Aluminij?
Aluminij starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,473).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brežice vs Aluminij
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brežice
Not enough data to predict the Brežice lineup.
Aluminij
4-3-3- 45B. Susso
- 44P. Petriško
- 11B. Osuji
- 14T. Jagić
- 13M. Vrbanec
- 7E. Taylor
- 32V. Težak
- 6D. Šimunić
- 4R. Schaubach
- 5M. Boben
- 31F. Raduha
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brežice have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aluminij have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 2-2 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Primorje(home) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 3-4 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Triglav(away) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Celje(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 2-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mura(away) | 6-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Celje(home) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Brežice score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aluminij score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brežice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Aluminij | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Brežice vs Aluminij?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brežice vs Aluminij?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aluminij the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Brežice.
- Where and when is Brežice vs Aluminij played?
- Brežice vs Aluminij is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Brežice, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.