Triglav vs Nafta: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Športni Center Stanko Mlakar, Kranj
The Footlab AI model makes Nafta the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Triglav. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Triglav vs Nafta?
On Elo ratings, Triglav has 1,741 points and Nafta 1,777.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Triglav vs Nafta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Triglav
Not enough data to predict the Triglav lineup.
Nafta
4-3-3- 17A. Maroša
- 7Josip Ivan Zorica
- 21Shyon Omrani
- 41Kimi Lavrencic
- 18A. Pihler
- 8M. Ogwuche
- 2R. Pirtovšek
- 33L. Poredoš
- 98Á. Drágoner
- 20Andre Ferreira
- 1Lucas Erjavsek
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Triglav have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Nafta have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Krško(away) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jesenice(home) | 4-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Primorje(home) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana(home) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brežice(home) | 4-0 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Koper(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Radomlje(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 2-3 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Triglav win, 3 draws, 2 Nafta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Nafta 1-1 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Triglav 0-2 Nafta | 2. SNL |
| May 3, 2024 | Triglav 1-2 Nafta | 2. SNL |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Nafta 0-0 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Triglav 1-0 Nafta | 2. SNL |
| Nov 8, 2022 | Nafta 1-1 Triglav | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Triglav score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nafta score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triglav | 1.8 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Nafta | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Triglav vs Nafta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Triglav vs Nafta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nafta the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Triglav.
- Where and when is Triglav vs Nafta played?
- Triglav vs Nafta is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Športni Center Stanko Mlakar, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.