Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
The Footlab AI model makes Melbourne City the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Melbourne City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,782 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City?
Melbourne City starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,687).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brisbane Roar
3-5-2- 17J. Vidic
- 9V. Postolachi
- 6N. Maieroni
- 19S. Ngor
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 13T. Russell
- 8T. Francois
- 77M. Stajic
- 16J. King
- 5T. Aldred
- 40George Plusnin
Melbourne City
4-2-3-1- 15A. Nabbout
- 14Besian Kutleshi
- 24Kavian Rahmani
- 23M. Memeti
- 11A. Mabil
- 19Q. Macnicol
- 13N. Atkinson
- 2H. Delbridge
- 4L. Bonetig
- 16A. Behich
- 1M. Freke
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brisbane Roar have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Melbourne City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Perth Glory(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lions(away) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Weston Bears(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Brisbane Roar wins, 1 draw, 5 Melbourne City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 2-3 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Melbourne City 1-0 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 0-0 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Melbourne City 3-2 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Melbourne City 1-0 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 1-4 Melbourne City | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brisbane Roar score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Melbourne City score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Melbourne City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brisbane Roar sit 5th in A-League (3 points from 1 match) and Melbourne City sit 10th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Melbourne City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
A question about Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Melbourne City the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City played?
- Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City is played on April 3, 2027 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Suncorp Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.