Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC)Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
The Footlab model makes Brisbane Roar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Brisbane Roar (1,685) and Perth Glory (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brisbane Roar have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Perth Glory have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sydney Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 2-3 | A-League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Macarthur(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brisbane Roar win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Perth Glory win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perth Glory 2-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 1-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Perth Glory 1-2 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Perth Glory 1-3 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 0-1 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Brisbane Roar 2-4 Perth Glory | Australia Cup |
Last archived meeting: Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brisbane Roar score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Perth Glory score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Perth Glory | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brisbane Roar sit 11th in A-League (26 points from 26 matches) and Perth Glory sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 36 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory?
- The Footlab model makes Brisbane Roar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Perth Glory.
- Where and when is Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory played?
- Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory is played on December 30, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at Suncorp Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.