Melbourne City vs Auckland: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Melbourne City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auckland wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,005 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melbourne City vs Auckland?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Melbourne City (1,801) and Auckland (1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melbourne City vs Auckland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melbourne City
4-2-3-1- 15A. Nabbout
- 24Kavian Rahmani
- 23M. Memeti
- 11A. Mabil
- 14Besian Kutleshi
- 19Q. Macnicol
- 2H. Delbridge
- 13N. Atkinson
- 16A. Behich
- 18J. Cascante
- 40J. Nieuwenhuizen
Auckland
4-2-3-1- 9S. Cosgrove
- 27L. Rogerson
- 10L. Bayliss
- 8F. Gallegos
- 77L. Brook
- 22J. Brimmer
- 2H. Sakai
- 4N. Pijnaker
- 15F. de Vries
- 23R. Wynne
- 1M. Woud
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Auckland have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lions(away) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(away) | 2-5 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Melbourne City win, 2 draws, 3 Auckland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Auckland 3-1 Melbourne City | A-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Auckland 1-1 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Auckland 3-0 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Melbourne City 2-1 Auckland | A-League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Auckland 3-0 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Melbourne City 2-2 Auckland | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Auckland vs Melbourne City on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne City score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Auckland score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Auckland | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melbourne City sit 4th in A-League (7 points from 4 matches) and Auckland sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Melbourne City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Auckland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Melbourne City vs Auckland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melbourne City vs Auckland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auckland the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Melbourne City.
- Where and when is Melbourne City vs Auckland played?
- Melbourne City vs Auckland is played on December 27, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at AAMI Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.