Watford vs Sheffield Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
The Footlab AI model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sheffield Utd wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Watford vs Sheffield Utd?
Sheffield Utd starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Watford vs Sheffield Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 20M. Doumbia
- 7O. Maamma
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 23O. Traoré
- 1F. Ravaglia
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2- 9T. Cannon
- 45P. Bamford
- 22B. Brereton
- 19T. Chong
- 42Sydie Peck
- 4O. Arblaster
- 5J. Tanganga
- 15L. Kitching
- 8H. Choudhury
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sheffield Utd have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Watford win, 0 draws, 5 Sheffield Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Watford 0-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Watford 1-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 1-0 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2022 | Watford 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Watford vs Sheffield Utd on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 20th in Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Sheffield Utd sit 11th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Watford vs Sheffield Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Watford vs Sheffield Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Watford.
- Where and when is Watford vs Sheffield Utd played?
- Watford vs Sheffield Utd is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vicarage Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.