Bristol City vs Southampton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 31Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol City vs Southampton?
Southampton starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol City vs Southampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 9L. Tolaj
- 12J. Knight
- 21Rio Cardines
- 8J. Williams
- 10S. Twine
- 23D. Ballard
- 19G. Tanner
- 3C. Pring
- 2L. Eissat
- 15L. McNally
- 40B. Collins
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 11L. Dobbin
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 10F. Azaz
- 27K. Matsuki
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 5J. Stephens
- 14J. Bree
- 3R. Manning
- 1Daniel Peretz
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Southampton have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Preston(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | QPR(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bristol City wins, 1 draw, 3 Southampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Southampton 4-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Southampton 2-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Bristol City 3-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Bristol City 3-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Southampton 1-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Southampton 2-0 Bristol City | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs Bristol City on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol City score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Southampton | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol City sit 17th in Championship (18 points from 15 matches) and Southampton sit 7th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Southampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 24 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
A question about Bristol City vs Southampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs Southampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Bristol City vs Southampton played?
- Bristol City vs Southampton is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ashton Gate Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.