Birmingham vs Stoke City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birmingham vs Stoke City?
On Elo ratings, Birmingham has 2,010 points and Stoke City 1,911.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birmingham vs Stoke City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 16P. Roberts
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Stoke City have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | QPR(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Birmingham wins, 2 draws, 2 Stoke City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Birmingham 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Stoke City 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Stoke City 1-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Birmingham 1-3 Stoke City | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Birmingham 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Stoke City 1-2 Birmingham | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Birmingham vs Stoke City on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 4th in Championship (20 points from 11 matches) and Stoke City sit 6th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
A question about Birmingham vs Stoke City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birmingham vs Stoke City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is Birmingham vs Stoke City played?
- Birmingham vs Stoke City is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St Andrew's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.