Blackburn vs Burnley: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Burnley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blackburn wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,525 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackburn vs Burnley?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Blackburn (1,938) and Burnley (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blackburn vs Burnley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 17H. Carter
- 3H. Pickering
- 22B. Tóth
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 9J. Vardy
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 19L. Ramazani
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 23Lucas Pires
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 37G. Coudert
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackburn have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Burnley have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Blackburn wins, 1 draw, 5 Burnley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | Blackburn 0-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Burnley 1-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Blackburn 0-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Burnley 3-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2017 | Blackburn 0-2 Burnley | League Cup |
| Mar 5, 2016 | Burnley 1-0 Blackburn | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Blackburn score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackburn sit 10th in Championship (15 points from 10 matches) and Burnley sit 21st (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 21 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Blackburn vs Burnley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Burnley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Burnley.
- Where and when is Blackburn vs Burnley played?
- Blackburn vs Burnley is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ewood Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.