Norwich vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Norwich. The most likely score is 1-1. If Middlesbrough wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norwich vs Middlesbrough?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Norwich (1,949) and Middlesbrough (2,009).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Norwich vs Middlesbrough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 11A. Brooks
- 7P. Mattsson
- 29O. Schwartau
- 16Jacob Wright
- 23K. McLean
- 33J. Córdoba
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 3J. Stacey
- 13D. Yongwa
- 1V. Kovačević
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Middlesbrough have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Norwich wins, 2 draws, 4 Middlesbrough wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Middlesbrough 4-3 Norwich | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Norwich | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Middlesbrough 0-0 Norwich | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Norwich 3-3 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Middlesbrough 3-1 Norwich | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs Norwich on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Norwich score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norwich sit 19th in Championship (9 points from 9 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
A question about Norwich vs Middlesbrough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norwich vs Middlesbrough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Norwich.
- Where and when is Norwich vs Middlesbrough played?
- Norwich vs Middlesbrough is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Carrow Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.