Bristol City vs Portsmouth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
The Footlab model makes Bristol City the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Portsmouth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol City vs Portsmouth?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Bristol City (1,846) and Portsmouth (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Portsmouth have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bristol City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Portsmouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | Bristol City 5-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Portsmouth 3-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Bristol City 0-0 Portsmouth | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs Portsmouth on Jan 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol City score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portsmouth score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Portsmouth | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol City sit 23rd in Championship (0 points from 1 matches) and Portsmouth sit 22nd (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Portsmouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Bristol City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs Portsmouth?
- The Footlab model makes Bristol City the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Portsmouth.
- Where and when is Bristol City vs Portsmouth played?
- Bristol City vs Portsmouth is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ashton Gate Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.