Bristol City vs Wrexham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Wrexham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol City vs Wrexham?
On Elo ratings, Bristol City has 1,918 points and Wrexham 2,032.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol City vs Wrexham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 12J. Knight
- 10S. Twine
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 21Rio Cardines
- 27G. Yah
- 19G. Tanner
- 5R. Atkinson
- 3C. Pring
- 15L. McNally
- 1S. Tickle
Wrexham
3-4-2-1- 19K. Moore
- 8B. Whiteman
- 3J. Ekomié
- 17C. O'Hare
- 12I. Kaboré
- 30Daniel Edward Peter Imray
- 37M. James
- 5D. Hyam
- 2C. Doyle
- 6J. Worrall
- 22A. Patterson
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Wrexham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-6 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bristol City wins, 1 draw, 1 Wrexham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Bristol City 2-2 Wrexham | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Wrexham 2-0 Bristol City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs Wrexham on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol City score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wrexham score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Wrexham | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol City sit 16th in Championship (14 points from 11 matches) and Wrexham sit 14th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs Wrexham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol City the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Wrexham.
- Where and when is Bristol City vs Wrexham played?
- Bristol City vs Wrexham is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ashton Gate Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.